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"The economics of American higher education are driven by one key factor--the availability of students willing to pay tuition--and many related factors that determine what schools they attend. By digging into the data, economist Nathan Grawe has created probability models for predicting college attendance. What he sees are alarming events on the horizon that every college and university needs to understand. Overall, he spots demographic patterns that are tilting the US population toward the Hispanic southwest. Moreover, since 2007, fertility rates have fallen by 12 percent. Higher education analysts recognize the destabilizing potential of these trends. However, existing work fails to adjust headcounts for college attendance probabilities and makes no systematic attempt to distinguish demand by institution type. This book analyzes demand forecasts by institution type and rank, disaggregating by demographic groups. Its findings often contradict the dominant narrative: while many schools face painful contractions, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by 15+ percent. Geographic and racial profiles will shift only slightly--and attendance by Asians, not Hispanics, will grow most. Grawe also use the model to consider possible changes in institutional recruitment strategies and government policies. These "what if" analyses show that even aggressive innovation is unlikely to overcome trends toward larger gaps across racial, family income, and parent education groups. Aimed at administrators and trustees with responsibility for decisions ranging from admissions to student support to tenure practices to facilities construction, this book offers data to inform decision-making--decisions that will determine institutional success in meeting demographic challenges"--

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Genre: Business & Economics
Author: Nathan D. Grawe
Publisher: JHU Press
Release: 2018
File: 175 Pages
ISBN-13: 9781421424132

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BOOK EXCERPT:

Higher education faces a looming demographic storm. Decades-long patterns in fertility, migration, and immigration persistently nudge the country toward the Hispanic Southwest. As a result, the Northeast and Midwest—traditional higher education strongholds—expect to lose 5 percent of their college-aged populations between now and the mid-2020s. Furthermore, and in response to the Great Recession, child-bearing has plummeted. In 2026, when the front edge of this birth dearth reaches college campuses, the number of college-aged students will drop almost 15 percent in just 5 years. In Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education, Nathan D. Grawe has developed the Higher Education Demand Index (HEDI), which relies on data from the 2002 Education Longitudinal Study (ELS) to estimate the probability of college-going using basic demographic variables. Analyzing demand forecasts by institution type and rank while disaggregating by demographic groups, Grawe provides separate forecasts for two-year colleges, elite institutions, and everything in between. The future demand for college attendance, he argues, depends critically on institution type. While many schools face painful contractions, for example, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by more than 15 percent in future years. Essential for administrators and trustees who are responsible for recruitment, admissions, student support, tenure practices, facilities construction, and strategic planning, this book is a practical guide for navigating coming enrollment challenges.

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Genre: Education
Author: Nathan D. Grawe
Publisher: JHU Press
Release: 2018-01-01
File: 192 Pages
ISBN-13: 9781421424149

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In the New York Times-bestselling The End of College, education expert Kevin Carey draws on new research to paint a portrait of the future of education. He explains how the college and university experiences are being radically altered and how this fact will emancipate millions of students. Insightful and readable, The End of College is an innovative roadmap to understanding tomorrow's higher education for teachers, parents and students.

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Genre: Distance education
Author: Kevin Carey
Publisher: Riverhead Books (Hardcover)
Release: 2016
File: 278 Pages
ISBN-13: 9781594634048

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"Higher education is in the midst of an extraordinary moment of demographic, economic, and cultural transition that has significant implications for how colleges and universities understand their mission, their market, and their management. This book is aimed at creating a practical understanding of key forces changing higher education, but it goes further. It describes those trends, discusses the real life impact of those trends on campuses, and then lays out concrete steps required to address them. Taking a page from George Keller's classic Academic Strategy, management consultant and college administrator Jon McGee uses these economic and demographic trends to inform his strategic approach to managing schools"--

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Genre: Education
Author: Jon McGee
Publisher: JHU Press
Release: 2015-11-15
File: 169 Pages
ISBN-13: 9781421418209

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What's more, the analysis expands to examine additional aspects of the higher education market, such as dual enrollment, transfer students, and the role of immigration in college demand.

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Genre: Education
Author: Nathan D. Grawe
Publisher: Johns Hopkins University Press
Release: 2021-01-12
File: 224 Pages
ISBN-13: 1421440237

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Those interested in and responsible for the fate of these institutions will find in this book a clearly defined set of risk indicators, a methodology for monitoring progress over time, and an evidence-based understanding of where they reside in the landscape of institutional risk.

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Genre: Education
Author: Robert Zemsky
Publisher: Johns Hopkins University Press
Release: 2020-02-25
File: 168 Pages
ISBN-13: 9781421437033

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A Global Perspective on Private Higher Education provides a timely review of the significant growth of private higher education in many parts of the world during the last decade. The book is concurrent with significant changes in the external operating environment of private higher education, including government policy and its impact on the ongoing growth of the sector. The title brings together the trends relating to the growth and the decline of private higher education providers, also including the key contributing factors of the changes from 17 countries. Provides a timely review of the significant growth of private higher education in many parts of the world during the last decade Presents the significant changes in the external operating environment of private higher education Brings together the trends relating to the growth and the decline of private higher education providers

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Genre: Education
Author: Mahsood Shah
Publisher: Chandos Publishing
Release: 2016-03-21
File: 370 Pages
ISBN-13: 9780081008980

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Though colleges and universities are arguably paying more attention to diversity and inclusion than ever before, to what extent do their efforts result in more socially just campuses? Intersectionality and Higher Education examines how race, ethnicity, class, gender, sexuality, sexual orientation, age, disability, nationality, and other identities connect to produce intersected campus experiences. Contributors look at both the individual and institutional perspectives on issues like campus climate, race, class, and gender disparities, LGBTQ student experiences, undergraduate versus graduate students, faculty and staff from varying socioeconomic backgrounds, students with disabilities, undocumented students, and the intersections of two or more of these topics. Taken together, this volume presents an evidence-backed vision of how the twenty-first century higher education landscape should evolve in order to meaningfully support all participants, reduce marginalization, and reach for equity and equality.

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Genre: Education
Author: W. Carson Byrd
Publisher: Rutgers University Press
Release: 2019-05-03
File: 272 Pages
ISBN-13: 9780813597683

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BOOK EXCERPT:

An unusually multifaceted approach to American higher education that views institutions as complex organisms, Academia Next offers a fresh perspective on the emerging colleges and universities of today and tomorrow.

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Genre: Education
Author: Bryan Alexander
Publisher: Johns Hopkins University Press
Release: 2020-01-14
File: 352 Pages
ISBN-13: 9781421436425

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Pairing a critique tempered to our current moment with an explanation of how change and disruption might contribute to a new "golden agefor higher education, Alternative Universities is an audacious and essential read.

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Genre: Education
Author: David J. Staley
Publisher: Johns Hopkins University Press
Release: 2019-03-26
File: 280 Pages
ISBN-13: 9781421427416

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